Imagination and Speculation

An awful lot of people much smarter and better informed than I am have speculated over the coming election. A significant number of them, from both sides of the political divide, say they expect chaos and violence. All I’ve done prophetically is confirm this expectation. I have almost nothing original to add to the story: You should expect things to get truly awful, to the point the US government starts coming apart quite visibly.

Very few of those speculating on such things will admit the possibility of the US dissolving. The few who do expect that hold virtually no consensus on what it would look like. It’s uncharted territory. Again, I could add nothing new, only confirm their general expectations by my prophetic sense of things, and most certainly contradicting the majority who expect things to somehow be pulled back together somewhere down the road.

This is how it works with prophetic vision. On some things, I get a very strong and specific sense of what God has to say about it. On most things, it’s just a general impression, hints and clues that aren’t so specific. Over the years I’ve built a very strong sense of conviction about such events, a conviction that has been borne out by real world results. I’ve learned to trust this basic instinct that mostly tells me what I should do. Often I share that part so you can compare notes.

Sometimes I can extrapolate backwards what that guidance tells me about the situation to come. I tend to keep that kind of stuff to myself, because it is private speculation. It’s less reliable, if only because there are surprises. For example, I never expected one of our Supreme Court Justices to die. However, seeing this death and the obvious political firestorm it has already provoked, it’s easy to see how my firm sense of guidance (what I should do) makes sense in ways I could not anticipate. My speculative abilities are quite limited in some ways.

But there is one thing on which I can speculate with confidence. I’ve worked inside of government bureaucracy, both military and civilian — there is no significant difference. I’ve seen it up close and personal. As things start to come apart, the bureaucrats will be the last to notice. Indeed, I expect them to be utterly surprised when the paychecks stop coming and the office buildings are locked. But the one thing that will change is their level of truculence. When their bureaucratic habits and expectations start to fail, their frustration will turn into a visceral hatred against any disruption of the routine. They’ll start looking for targets on which to vent their wrath. As one of my friends once said, they already brag about all the brilliant ways they can avoid having to do a darn thing, so that the process runs its automated course. They have a sense of entitlement that is off the scale.

Think about what this means when the entire federal bureaucracy begins grinding to a halt. At the one moment when a little creativity is most needed to deal with rising chaos, they will paradoxically contribute to the chaos. What should be routine administrative adjustments — changing a mailing address, for example — will drag on for extended periods. Instead of pushing a little faster, entropy will set in. The exceptions to this will be quite rare.

We’ve already seen this with the supposedly exceptional unemployment assistance. At the one moment when it really needs to work better, it has consistently ground to a halt. It has never in history been this slow and unresponsive. The same with the stimulus payments. Granted, with the stimulus money, those who just happened to fall within a defined group having no bureaucratic surprises got their money quickly in accurate amounts. It appears this group was a majority. But everyone outside that group have been left out, and some folks still haven’t seen a dime of it, now several months later.

Think about all the large number of folks out there who have become dependent on such largess. They share that same sense of entitlement as the bureaucrats. Think about how their lives are already chaotic and they present a constant stream of demands on the system to make one adjustment after another — moving frequently, changing circumstances with often shifting and confusing relationships with others dependent on the same system, making decisions that often challenge case workers to keep up. What happens when they are simply cut off by the system? How do they react?

Then consider that at the very time this stuff is freezing up, a massive influx of new clients only adds to the bureaucratic load. If you are reading my blog with any regularity, you likely don’t get to see this stuff first-hand. Those kind of folks don’t read blogs like mine. What you will see is the indirect results of such people cast out on their own devices to get by. Just imagine what that means.

About Ed Hurst

Avid cyclist, Disabled Veteran, Bible History teacher, and wannabe writer; retired.
This entry was posted in social sciences and tagged , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

1 Response to Imagination and Speculation

  1. Jack says:

    Ginsburg already “died” figuratively and functionally months ago, and should have been forced into retirement due to her incapacity. But TPTB have been postponing this eventuality and stalling for time in an effort to control the sequence of events according to their purposes.

    Liked by 1 person

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